Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 2, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Heracles Almelo 		26.6%
48.9%		24.5%
+165
+156

1.14
1.63		2.77
o2¾-115
u2¾-105

AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam 		68.9%
13.3%		17.7%
-147
+330

2.36
0.94		3.30
o3¼-120
u3¼+100

Twente
Groningen 		25.1%
49.0%		25.8%
+142
+185

1.01
1.51		2.52
o2½-110
u2½-110

Games for Nov 1, 2025
Games for Nov 3, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Vitesse		15.5%
65.0%		19.4%
+123
+220
+115
+215
2
3		-1.19746-1.19548-0.43077
Utrecht
RKC Waalwijk		64.8%
15.3%		19.9%
+110
+245
+105
+240
2
2		-1.33401-1.35919-1.61636
Heracles Almelo
Zwolle		39.6%
33.9%		26.4%
+215
+112
+195
+125
1
3		-0.79598-0.85982-1.08190
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		57.1%
21.0%		21.9%
-280
+725
-280
+670
8
0		-0.34772-0.35436-0.56021
Twente
Ajax		5.6%
83.5%		10.9%
+147
+181
+180
+150
1
2		-1.08255-0.96627-0.18038
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		64.6%
15.9%		19.4%
-278
+710
-300
+725
1
0		-0.35722-0.33935-0.43634
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo		36.4%
36.1%		27.5%
+155
+165
+145
+170
2
0		-0.97511-0.94727-1.01033
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		4.8%
84.6%		10.6%
+770
-294
+810
-335
2
3		-0.33805-0.31230-0.16756
Vitesse
PSV Eindhoven		22.8%
54.5%		22.8%
+2500
-1429
+3150
-2400
0
6		-0.11641-0.09272-0.60774
Utrecht
Heerenveen		37.1%
36.2%		26.7%
+200
+145
+170
+160
3
2		-1.13784-1.04120-0.99166
Ajax
Feyenoord		59.7%
18.7%		21.7%
+610
-263
+650
-255
0
6		-0.37157-0.38312-1.67788
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		26.3%
49.7%		24.0%
+700
-250
+660
-245
0
2		-0.38094-0.39322-0.69997
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		36.5%
37.0%		26.6%
+610
-244
+600
-240
1
5		-0.39241-0.39978-0.99531
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		36.1%
37.1%		26.8%
+400
-141
+410
-170
2
1		-1.64693-1.68088-1.01838
Twente
Heerenveen		29.2%
45.6%		25.2%
-116
+310
-105
+275
3
3		-1.36826-1.35631-1.37745
Zwolle
Utrecht		19.6%
59.5%		20.9%
+630
-227
+600
-230
1
5		-0.41244-0.41015-0.51940
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.57804 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-2.10776
-0.52972

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.