NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Chargers (7-9)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
20.7%
79.3%
+133
-150
+141
-145
+3-115
-2½-121
+3-115
-2½-110
13.9
24.6
38.5
o34½-110
u34½-110
o35-110
u35½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Bears (8-8)
Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
28.6%
71.4%
+103
-120
+107
-108
+1-110
-1-110
+1½-110
+0-108
15.7
22.5
38.2
o44-105
u43½-105
o43½-110
u43½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Houston Texans (4-12)
Minnesota Vikings (7-9)
Unknown
Unknown
34.5%
65.5%
-119
+105
-125
+120
-1-112
+1½-110
-1½-108
+2-110
21.2
25.4
46.6
o46-113
u46-105
o46-110
u46-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Giants (6-10)
Cleveland Browns (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
27.2%
72.8%
+250
-285
+250
-285
+6½-110
-6½-109
+6½-108
-6½-108
21.3
28.4
49.7
o38½-110
u38-105
o38½-110
u39-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1)
New Orleans Saints (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
16.4%
83.6%
+130
-145
+131
-150
+2½+100
-2½-118
+3-110
-2½-120
17.7
31.5
49.2
o49½-105
u49-105
o49½-110
u49½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Denver Broncos (5-11)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
14.3%
85.7%
+236
-275
+260
-280
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-108
15.2
30.7
45.9
o41-110
u41-110
o41-110
u41-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Green Bay Packers (13-3)
Tennessee Titans (11-5)
Unknown
Unknown
55.0%
45.0%
+130
-148
+130
-145
+2½+100
-2½-120
+2½+102
-2½-110
23.2
21.2
44.4
o38½-110
u38½-105
o37½-110
u38-110
Carolina Panthers (5-11)
Las Vegas Raiders (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
38.1%
61.9%
+215
-255
+225
-255
+6-110
-5½-115
+6-108
-5½-110
23.4
26.6
50.0
o40-110
u40-110
o40-110
u40-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (10-6)
Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
Unknown
Unknown
29.3%
70.7%
+180
-210
+195
-215
+4-105
-4½-106
+4½-108
-4½-108
23.3
30.1
53.4
o41½-110
u41½+100
o41½-110
u42-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Detroit Lions (5-11)
Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Unknown
Unknown
25.9%
74.1%
-150
+135
-145
+130
-3+100
+2½+105
-2½-110
+3-115
20.7
28.0
48.7
o51½-110
u51½-110
o51½-110
u52-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Ravens (11-5)
Dallas Cowboys (6-10)
Unknown
Unknown
75.7%
24.3%
-115
-105
-115
+100
+1-115
+1-110
-1-108
+1-108
28.3
20.4
48.7
o47-115
u48-116
o47½-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
Los Angeles Rams (10-6)
Unknown
Unknown
32.5%
67.5%
-285
+255
-280
+260
-6½-110
+6½-110
-6½-108
+7-120
24.1
28.9
53.0
o43-115
u43½-110
o43-110
u44-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Chiefs (14-2)
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
Unknown
Unknown
77.8%
22.2%
-165
+145
-163
+145
-3-110
+3-105
-3-108
+3-108
33.0
23.4
56.4
o46½-105
u46½-110
o46½-110
u46½-110
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10.2%
89.8%
+175
-200
+180
-195
+4-110
-4-110
+4-110
-4-110
21
20
-1.04146-1.04762-2.28730
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles
84.8%
15.2%
-101
-115
+110
-114
+0-101
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
38
35
-0.72486-0.75080-0.16498
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
7.6%
92.4%
+115
-125
+117
-118
+1+103
-2-110
+2-110
-1½-110
20
23
-0.60825-0.61593-0.07945
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
55.1%
44.9%
+135
-145
+137
-142
+2½+100
-3+105
+3-110
-3+100
7
31
-0.54173-0.54178-0.80006
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
32.1%
67.9%
+165
-175
+170
-180
+3½-110
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-110
12
19
-0.46561-0.45497-0.38778
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
13.4%
86.6%
+230
-250
+232
-260
+6-110
-5½-111
+6-110
-5½-110
27
10
-1.21110-1.22312-2.00992
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
36.8%
63.2%
+325
-360
+320
-380
+8-107
-8-110
+8-110
-8-105
7
38
-0.26286-0.26295-0.45925
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
4.8%
95.2%
+395
-450
+435
-526
+10-120
-9½-105
+9½-110
-9½-110
20
27
-0.22067-0.20086-0.04913
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16.9%
83.1%
-140
+125
-140
+130
-2½-115
+2½+100
-2½-110
+3-119
31
14
-0.56639-0.55696-1.77898
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
83.0%
17.0%
+350
-425
+350
-410
+8-115
-7½-103
+7½-110
-7-120
17
24
-0.24256-0.24406-1.77449
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings
29.2%
70.8%
+130
-145
+133
-145
+2½+100
-2½-114
+3-120
-2½-110
31
24
-0.85918-0.86669-1.22936
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
29.8%
70.2%
+725
-1050
+800
-1100
+14-110
-14+100
+14-110
-13½-110
31
34
-0.12466-0.11441-0.35369
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
68.5%
31.5%
-130
+115
-135
+120
-2-108
+1+103
-2-110
+2½-110
30
31
-0.79536-0.81706-1.15363
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
61.5%
38.5%
+385
-420
+415
-450
+9-110
-10+105
+9½-110
-9-110
23
41
-0.22736-0.21295-0.95469
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
+210
-205
+230
-240
+4½-109
-4-110
+5-110
-4-110
20
16
-1.12609-1.20281-1.90744
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Football Team
43.8%
56.2%
-345
+300
-320
+300
-7-114
+8½-120
-7½-110
+7½-105
6
26
-1.41124-1.39812-0.57709
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks168-8 (0.500)0-0.78021 
Sportsbooks168-7 (0.531)1-0.77730 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.68033
0.09988
0.09697

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.