NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
58.6%
41.4%
+225
-265
+235
-265
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-108
-6-108
13
21
-0.35332-0.34441-0.88085
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
14.8%
85.2%
-135
+117
-135
+120
-2-114
+2-105
-2½-108
+2½-108
24
14
-0.58900-0.58291-1.90744
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
40.1%
59.9%
-130
+110
-125
+112
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-108
26
20
-0.61112-0.61467-0.91372
Jacksonville Jaguars
Philadelphia Eagles
21.9%
78.1%
+285
-350
+290
-330
+7½-115
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-116
23
28
-0.28815-0.28827-0.24744
Chicago Bears
Arizona Cardinals
35.6%
64.4%
+115
-126
+115
-120
+1½-105
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-110
9
29
-0.60664-0.61667-0.44051
Washington Football Team
New York Giants
50.6%
49.4%
-205
+175
-204
+185
-4-110
+4-109
-4-108
+4-108
27
22
-0.43245-0.42060-0.68199
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
64.0%
36.0%
+310
-380
+310
-350
+8-110
-7½-115
+7½-108
-7½-108
24
41
-0.26856-0.27275-1.02299
Denver Broncos
Baltimore Ravens
14.5%
85.5%
+345
-410
+368
-420
+9+100
-9-105
+9½-110
-9-108
10
41
-0.24649-0.23472-0.15620
Dallas Cowboys
Atlanta Falcons
36.2%
63.8%
+160
-175
+155
-168
+3+102
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-118
21
27
-0.47276-0.48587-0.44884
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
29.8%
70.2%
+220
-255
+232
-260
+6-110
-6-107
+6½-108
-6½-108
27
30
-0.36120-0.34858-0.35369
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
76.9%
23.1%
-350
+280
-335
+290
-7-115
+7+100
-7-108
+7+100
22
23
-1.37512-1.38713-1.46482
Los Angeles Chargers
Cleveland Browns
32.8%
67.2%
-133
+115
-125
+110
-2½-110
+2-104
-1½-110
+2-108
27
10
-0.59598-0.61904-1.11602
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
31.9%
68.1%
+155
-175
+160
-175
+3½-118
-3½+105
+3½-115
-3-110
17
20
-0.48012-0.47276-0.38481
Houston Texans
New York Jets
62.9%
37.1%
+140
-153
+137
-150
+3-120
-2½-120
+2½+110
-2½-110
13
21
-0.52415-0.53253-0.99207
New York Giants
Pittsburgh Steelers
16.7%
83.3%
+225
-250
+240
-260
+6-110
-6-105
+6½-110
-6-108
18
26
-0.35820-0.34163-0.18242
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
32.1%
67.9%
+200
-240
+220
-240
+5½-110
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5-108
24
30
-0.38677-0.36652-0.38778
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.