NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
69.1%
30.9%
+205
-220
+255
-220
+5-109
-5-105
+6½-110
-5-110
23
20
-1.13887-1.21372-0.36924
New Orleans Saints
Denver Broncos
72.2%
27.8%
-1450
+990
-1600
+1030
-16½-113
+17-109
-16½-110
+17-110
31
3
-0.08135-0.07651-0.32556
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
43.2%
56.8%
-360
+310
-320
+320
-7½-109
+8½-120
-7-110
+7½-110
20
3
-0.26221-0.27194-0.83949
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills
34.2%
65.8%
+190
-215
+210
-200
+4-105
-4-109
+5½-110
-4-110
17
27
-0.40218-0.39742-0.41902
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
36.6%
63.4%
+133
-140
+155
-145
+3-115
-3+110
+3+100
-2½-120
45
26
-0.86057-0.91589-1.00550
Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings
20.5%
79.5%
+132
-145
+165
-145
+3-115
-3+101
+3½-110
-3+100
27
28
-0.54402-0.49883-0.22969
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
69.7%
30.3%
-345
+285
-300
+300
-7½-101
+8½-120
-7+100
+7½-110
27
25
-0.27738-0.28768-0.36159
New York Giants
Cincinnati Bengals
49.0%
51.0%
-280
+255
-260
+260
-7+113
+6½-109
-6-110
+6½-110
19
17
-0.31805-0.32543-0.71284
Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
28.5%
71.5%
-118
+105
-118
+115
-1½-105
+0-102
-1-110
+2-110
17
20
-0.74811-0.77236-0.33484
Las Vegas Raiders
Atlanta Falcons
34.3%
65.7%
-180
+165
-160
+170
-3½-104
+3+110
-3-110
+3½-110
6
43
-1.00171-0.97418-0.42039
Washington Football Team
Dallas Cowboys
12.1%
87.9%
+120
-133
+130
-135
+2½-105
-2½-109
+3-120
-2-110
41
16
-0.81676-0.84362-2.11552
Houston Texans
Detroit Lions
48.4%
51.6%
-160
+145
-160
+150
-3-109
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
41
25
-0.50483-0.49809-0.72617
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29.0%
71.0%
+180
-197
+185
-204
+4-106
-4-109
+4½-110
-4-110
27
24
-1.05866-1.07907-1.23619
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
82.0%
18.0%
-385
+318
-340
+320
-8½+100
+7½+100
-7½-110
+8-110
35
31
-0.25194-0.26486-0.19888
Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings
51.7%
48.3%
+260
-300
+290
-304
+7-114
-7½+120
+7-110
-7+100
31
28
-1.33222-1.37848-0.65973
Green Bay Packers
Indianapolis Colts
40.5%
59.5%
+103
-120
+105
-120
+0+103
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1-110
31
34
-0.64166-0.63709-0.51906
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.