NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
Los Angeles Chargers
30.4%
69.6%
+360
-440
+375
-450
+10-114
-10½+113
+9½-105
-9½-110
28
34
-0.22476-0.21837-0.36311
Miami Dolphins
Denver Broncos
36.5%
63.5%
-210
+185
-200
+184
-4-109
+4-105
-4-110
+3½+100
13
20
-1.08847-1.07084-0.45476
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
21.0%
79.0%
+220
-250
+230
-250
+6-109
-6-105
+6-110
-6-110
30
24
-1.20698-1.22292-1.55913
Cincinnati Bengals
Washington Football Team
50.5%
49.5%
+105
-123
+110
-125
+0+105
-1½-105
+2-110
-1½-110
9
20
-0.63132-0.61676-0.70269
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars
79.3%
20.7%
-500
+435
-500
+425
-12+110
+10½-105
-10-115
+10½-110
27
3
-0.19456-0.19672-0.23196
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
66.8%
33.2%
-140
+130
-140
+130
-2½-114
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
20
27
-0.85395-0.85395-1.10253
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
50.5%
49.5%
-168
+155
-165
+150
-3-119
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
0
20
-0.96063-0.94500-0.70370
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
24.8%
75.2%
+165
-180
+170
-170
+3+115
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½+100
9
24
-0.45768-0.46262-0.28485
Philadelphia Eagles
Cleveland Browns
59.7%
40.3%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+2½-105
-2½-109
+2½-105
-2-110
17
22
-0.57989-0.57089-0.90882
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
26.9%
73.1%
+155
-170
+150
-160
+3+100
-3-109
+3-105
-3-105
21
28
-0.48007-0.49809-0.31326
Minnesota Vikings
Chicago Bears
58.5%
41.5%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-3-119
+3+105
-3½+100
+3½-110
19
13
-0.47401-0.47401-0.53669
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
61.8%
38.2%
-310
+275
-280
+272
-7½+115
+7-105
-7+100
+7-110
17
23
-1.36536-1.32430-0.96168
San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
49.6%
50.4%
+335
-400
+350
-400
+9-105
-10½+120
+9½-110
-9-110
13
27
-0.24200-0.23713-0.68617
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
59.2%
40.8%
+135
-145
+135
-140
+2½+110
-2½-119
+3-110
-2½-115
16
23
-0.53929-0.54663-0.89754
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
16.8%
83.2%
+260
-300
+260
-300
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½+100
-6½-110
10
36
-0.30638-0.30638-0.18440
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
60.8%
39.2%
+105
-121
+110
-124
+0+105
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
21
29
-0.63514-0.61862-0.93532
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.