NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
40.9%
59.1%
+180
-190
+176
-185
+4-109
-4-109
+3½+100
-4-110
23
34
-0.43229-0.44099-0.52557
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
19.3%
80.7%
+255
-300
+260
-300
+7-115
-7+101
+7½-110
-6½-110
24
20
-1.32486-1.33222-1.64615
Los Angeles Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals
65.8%
34.2%
-130
+125
-129
+130
-2½-104
+3-125
-2-110
+3½-110
16
13
-0.57912-0.57222-0.41834
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
43.2%
56.8%
+102
-115
+105
-120
+0+102
-1½-105
+3½-110
-1½-110
43
34
-0.73380-0.75254-0.83836
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
78.9%
21.1%
-315
+265
-320
+280
-7½+110
+7½-115
-7-105
+7-105
20
27
-1.35685-1.38378-1.55438
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
52.7%
47.3%
+110
-125
+120
-130
+1+103
-2½+100
+2½-105
-1½-110
27
23
-0.77586-0.81042-0.64109
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
81.7%
18.3%
-227
+210
-224
+210
-5½-109
+5½-109
-5½-110
+6½-110
17
27
-1.15773-1.15325-1.69898
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
60.9%
39.1%
-101
-115
+100
-110
+1-105
-1-105
+1-110
+1-110
38
25
-0.72608-0.71723-0.49599
Las Vegas Raiders
Carolina Panthers
52.1%
47.9%
-149
+135
-148
+130
-2½-120
+2½+110
-1½-110
+3-120
34
30
-0.53370-0.54302-0.65250
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
22.1%
77.9%
+255
-285
+254
-290
+6½-114
-7+110
+6½-110
-6-110
17
27
-0.31568-0.31396-0.25016
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
18.5%
81.5%
+275
-310
+280
-325
+7½-115
-7-108
+9-110
-7-110
6
38
-0.29475-0.28664-0.20509
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
19.4%
80.6%
+285
-330
+290
-335
+7½-112
-7-114
+7+100
-6½-110
11
21
-0.28256-0.27859-0.21552
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
13.4%
86.6%
+350
-430
+375
-420
+9-105
-10½+118
+10-110
-9-110
20
34
-0.22998-0.22492-0.14441
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs
54.4%
45.6%
+107
-122
+110
-120
+1½-105
-1½-109
+2-110
-1½-110
20
31
-0.62880-0.62618-0.78509
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
33.8%
66.2%
+300
-320
+300
-335
+8-109
-9+105
+8-105
-7½-110
20
37
-0.27978-0.27437-0.41216
Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs
31.0%
69.0%
+280
-310
+290
-320
+7+101
-7½+105
+7+100
-7½+110
24
35
-0.29240-0.28402-0.37054
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.