NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
13.3%
86.7%
+485
-610
+550
-700
+12-109
-13½+103
+12½-110
-12-110
7
20
-0.16947-0.15015-0.14227
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
48.8%
51.2%
+170
-180
+170
-185
+3½+100
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½-110
20
40
-0.45216-0.44726-0.66924
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
24.1%
75.9%
+250
-275
+250
-280
+6½-109
-7+115
+6½-105
-6½-110
19
27
-0.32323-0.32080-0.27533
San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
52.0%
48.0%
+105
-118
+110
-120
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1-110
48
46
-0.74811-0.76492-0.65348
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
27.0%
73.0%
+325
-400
+350
-420
+8-109
-9½+105
+8½-110
-7½-110
38
24
-1.52491-1.57378-1.30996
Washington Football Team
Green Bay Packers
11.5%
88.5%
+625
-800
+675
-900
+13-109
-14+113
+13½-110
-13-110
15
20
-0.13298-0.12161-0.12184
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
54.8%
45.2%
-265
+240
-260
+260
-7+123
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-110
24
17
-0.33414-0.32543-0.60132
Dallas Cowboys
Chicago Bears
45.4%
54.6%
-160
+155
-165
+155
-3-109
+3½-115
-3-110
+3+100
24
31
-0.94575-0.93496-0.60468
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks
54.3%
45.7%
+150
-155
+145
-155
+3-105
-3-104
+3-110
-3+100
30
37
-0.50431-0.51109-0.78375
New England Patriots
Houston Texans
65.0%
35.0%
-175
+170
-175
+165
-3½+100
+3½-105
-3-120
+3½-110
22
28
-1.00237-0.99290-1.04985
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
60.0%
40.0%
-210
+190
-200
+195
-4½-105
+4½-109
-4½-110
+5-110
20
23
-1.09748-1.09017-0.91507
Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
25.5%
74.5%
+470
-550
+450
-550
+10½-105
-12½+110
+11-110
-11-110
9
40
-0.17989-0.18372-0.29398
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
76.6%
23.4%
-140
+127
-140
+125
-2½-109
+3-115
-2½-110
+2½-105
34
7
-0.55967-0.56310-0.26704
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
43.5%
56.5%
-113
+105
-115
+105
-1-104
+1½-110
-1-110
+1-110
13
20
-0.73681-0.74137-0.57130
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
41.2%
58.8%
-130
+125
-135
+125
-2½-109
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-120
6
22
-0.82187-0.83243-0.53020
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jacksonville Jaguars
44.1%
55.9%
-149
+145
-160
+145
-3-107
+3-105
-3+100
+3-105
28
11
-0.51901-0.50483-0.81910
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.