MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 12, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Seth Lugo
Shane Baz
51.2%
48.8%
+135
-149
+133
-141
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.12
4.99
10.11
o9½-110
u9½-106
o9½-110
u9½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Will Warren
Cade Cavalli
55.1%
44.9%
+110
-121
+114
-110
+1½-185
-1½+170

5.21
4.67
9.88
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Matthew Boyd
Andrew Abbott
42.1%
57.9%
-127
+115
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.05
4.89
8.94
o9-107
u9-110
o9-110
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Emerson Hancock
Ian Seymour
39.2%
60.8%
+134
-148
+134
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
3.93
5.06
8.99
o8-105
u8-114
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Zack Wheeler
Tarik Skubal
55.8%
44.2%
+118
-130
+120
-115
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+185
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7-110
u7-105
o7-115
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Joey Cantillo
Tyler Phillips
47.9%
52.1%
-110
+100
-104
-102


4.28
4.49
8.77
o7½-116
u8-120
o7½-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Payton Tolle
Zach Thornton
49.7%
50.3%
-110
+100
-107
+100
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.84
4.87
9.71
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jose Soriano
Taj Bradley
48.4%
51.6%
+115
-127
+118
-121
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-178
-1½+161
5.36
5.53
10.89
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
JT Ginn
Noah Schultz
45.6%
54.4%
+134
-148
+136
-115
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+170
4.60
5.06
9.66
o8½-117
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Danny Young
Dustin May
51.7%
48.3%
+118
-130
+117
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
4.35
4.17
8.52
o7½-105
u7½-106
o7½-115
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cristian Javier
MacKenzie Gore
62.6%
37.4%
+125
-138
+125
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
5.43
4.11
9.54
o9-110
u9-106
o8½-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Michael Lorenzen
Trevor McDonald
38.1%
61.9%
+138
-152
+137
-140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
4.16
5.42
9.58
o9-120
u9+100
o8½-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mitch Bratt
Emmet Sheehan
33.5%
66.5%
+198
-221
+190
-210
+1½-102
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
3.53
5.24
8.77
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9½+100
u9½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kevin Gausman
German Marquez
46.7%
53.3%
-125
+113
-121
+117
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-142
4.29
4.64
8.93
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 11, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
+116
-128
+115
-123
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
8.74
o8-115
u8+103
o7½-115
u8½-120
4th
BOT
2
8

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
37.6%
62.4%
+157
-172
+170
-180
+1½-120
-1½+108
+1½-110
-1½+100
3
0
-0.96511-1.00641-0.97742
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
53.9%
46.1%
-186
+170
-183
+180
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+110
1
4
-1.01377-1.03339-0.77516
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
50.7%
49.3%
+120
-130
+120
-124
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59012-0.59946-0.70783
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
47.2%
52.8%
-139
+128
-140
+130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-128
3
4
-0.84416-0.85085-0.63927
Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Indians
50.7%
49.3%
-117
+107
-120
+112
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+142
+1½-153
0
1
-0.74957-0.76841-0.70639
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
44.0%
56.0%
+102
-112
+107
-112
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
8
-0.66116-0.64942-0.57930
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
53.2%
46.8%
-188
+172
-187
+175
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
10
-1.02085-1.02669-0.75914
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
58.2%
41.8%
-139
+128
-134
+128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-132
14
3
-0.56198-0.56867-0.54154
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+182
-197
+172
-180
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+106
6
5
-1.05449-1.01107-1.11880
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
57.1%
42.9%
-133
+122
-126
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-148
8
9
-0.81855-0.80044-0.84648
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
37.6%
62.4%
-118
+108
-115
+110


2
4
-0.75417-0.75294-0.47128
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
64.8%
35.2%
-136
+125
-130
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+126
+1½-135
16
3
-0.57167-0.58016-0.43425
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-120
+110
-122
+112
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-144
6
8
-0.76336-0.77245-0.66978
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
47.0%
53.0%
+143
-156
+146
-155
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-0.90857-0.91442-0.75577
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
33.8%
66.2%
+226
-255
+220
-244
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
2
5
-0.35560-0.36504-0.41311
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
-103
-107
+102
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+187
2
3
-0.68389-0.67627-0.75179
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.70513 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.70831 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.69243
0.01269
0.01588

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.