MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 12, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Michael Lorenzen
Trevor McDonald
38.1%
61.9%
+137
-151
+140
-140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
4.16
5.42
9.58
o9-120
u9+100
o8½-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mitch Bratt
Emmet Sheehan
33.5%
66.5%
+198
-221
+190
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
3.53
5.24
8.77
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9½+100
u9½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kevin Gausman
German Marquez
46.7%
53.3%
-122
+111
-119
+114
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4.29
4.64
8.93
o8½-120
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 11, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
+116
-128
+115
-123
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
8.74
o8-115
u8+103
o7½-115
u8½-120
8th
TOP
2
14
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
51.2%
48.8%
+135
-149
+133
-141
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
10.11
o9½-110
u9½-106
o9½-110
u9½-105
4th
TOP
2
2
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
55.1%
44.9%
+110
-121
+114
-110
+1½-185
-1½+170

9.88
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-120
5th
TOP
1
1
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
42.1%
57.9%
-128
+116
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
8.94
o9-107
u9-110
o9-110
u9½-120
4th
TOP
2
4
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
39.2%
60.8%
+135
-149
+134
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
8.99
o8-105
u8-114
o7½-120
u7½+105
4th
TOP
4
0
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
55.8%
44.2%
+119
-131
+120
-115
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+185
8.97
o7-110
u7-105
o7-115
u7+100
5th
BOT
1
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
47.9%
52.1%
-111
+101
-104
-102


8.77
o7½-116
u8-120
o7½-115
u8-105
4th
TOP
2
1
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
49.7%
50.3%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-160
9.71
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8½-120
5th
BOT
0
1
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
48.4%
51.6%
+116
-128
+118
-124
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-172
-1½+160
10.89
o9-123
u9½-125
o9-120
u8½+105
3rd
BOT
1
0
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
45.6%
54.4%
+136
-150
+136
-115
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+170
9.66
o9-105
u9-113
o9-105
u9+100
3rd
TOP
1
6
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
51.7%
48.3%
+117
-129
+119
-127
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
8.52
o7½-105
u7½-106
o7½-115
u8½-120
2nd
TOP
0
1
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
62.6%
37.4%
+125
-138
+128
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+158
9.54
o9-109
u9-110
o8½-105
u9-110
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
49.9%
50.1%
-210
+190
-214
+205
-1½-130
+1½+112
-1½-125
+1½+120
6
4
-0.41146-0.39278-0.69579
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Angels
40.3%
59.7%
+167
-183
+170
-182
+1½-124
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+111
5
8
-0.45692-0.45353-0.51517
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
53.3%
46.7%
+138
-150
+140
-148
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+152
4
9
-0.53079-0.52957-0.76153
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
57.5%
42.5%
-123
+113
-116
+111
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
6
4
-0.61582-0.63260-0.55412
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
66.7%
33.3%
+116
-126
+115
-120
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+175
11
5
-0.79039-0.77596-0.40555
Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Indians
50.7%
49.3%
-111
+101
-114
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-155
5
6
-0.72144-0.74575-0.70639
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
37.5%
62.5%
-102
-108
-101
-107
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+175
6
9
-0.67930-0.67911-0.46924
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
38.6%
61.4%
+172
-188
+180
-190
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
4
5
-0.44674-0.43510-0.48755
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
54.9%
45.1%
-160
+147
-153
+146
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
3
5
-0.92425-0.91135-0.79540
San Diego Padres
Detroit Tigers
57.6%
42.4%
-155
+142
-152
+144
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-118
5
4
-0.51869-0.51849-0.55135
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+130
-142
+132
-140
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+143
0
3
-0.55443-0.55326-0.39552
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
47.0%
53.0%
+196
-218
+210
-220
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
6
1
-1.10830-1.14144-0.75577
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
52.0%
48.0%
+116
-126
+125
-128
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+145
3
4
-0.60453-0.58315-0.73370
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-194
+185
-210
+198
-1½-135
+1½+116
-1½-135
+1½+130
3
1
-0.42641-0.40237-0.69205
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
+102
-112
+106
-113
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
7
2
-0.72619-0.73854-0.71707
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
29.2%
70.8%
+155
-169
+160
-170
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+127
4
3
-0.95628-0.96964-1.22987
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.73047 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.73064 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.70110
0.02938
0.02955

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.