NFL Football Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
15.7%
84.3%
+380
-450
+385
-475
+9-109
-9-105
+9½-110
-10+100
3
23
-0.21700-0.21078-0.17029
Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers
62.4%
37.6%
-260
+240
-270
+240
-7+120
+6½-105
-6-110
+6½-115
30
24
-0.33680-0.33156-0.47140
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
52.7%
47.3%
+150
-160
+150
-165
+3-104
-3-110
+3+100
-3-115
24
21
-0.93570-0.94500-0.64080
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
87.1%
12.9%
-500
+435
-540
+450
-11½+105
+11-110
-10½-110
+10½-110
34
13
-0.19456-0.18517-0.13853
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
38.6%
61.4%
+200
-210
+190
-220
+4+103
-4-110
+4½-110
-4½-110
13
21
-0.39742-0.39848-0.48765
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Football Team
78.9%
21.1%
-300
+255
-300
+270
-7+100
+6½+100
-6½-110
+6½+105
37
27
-0.30904-0.30129-0.23656
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
50.0%
50.0%
-245
+225
-250
+225
-5½-116
+6-105
-6-110
+6-110
38
17
-0.35493-0.35197-0.69243
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
12.8%
87.2%
+875
-1300
+1100
-1100
+17½-115
-17-109
+17-110
-17-110
21
42
-0.09101-0.08701-0.13713
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
19.0%
81.0%
+350
-435
+375
-440
+9-107
-10½+120
+9½-110
-9-110
17
23
-0.22887-0.22047-0.21021
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
43.0%
57.0%
+105
-105
+105
-115
+0-102
+1-105
+1½-110
+0-110
12
28
-0.66904-0.64714-0.56265
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
46.7%
53.3%
-145
+132
-145
+135
-2½-120
+3-110
-3+100
+3-115
42
21
-0.54404-0.53931-0.76235
Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals
60.2%
39.8%
-130
+115
-125
+115
-2½-104
+2+100
-1½-110
+2-110
23
17
-0.59775-0.60657-0.50732
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
24.9%
75.1%
+140
-145
+142
-150
+3-109
-3-105
+3-110
-3-105
23
16
-0.88574-0.89990-1.39155
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
56.2%
43.8%
-180
+165
-170
+165
-3-124
+3+111
-3-120
+3½-110
45
10
-0.45768-0.46818-0.57650
Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
47.8%
52.2%
+150
-170
+155
-165
+3+105
-3-116
+3+105
-3½+100
35
38
-0.48643-0.48574-0.64928
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
34.6%
65.4%
+195
-220
+190
-220
+5-109
-5-105
+5-110
-5-110
21
22
-0.39414-0.39848-0.42537
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/11/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin ConferenceWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)12.44.60.095.3%81.5%36.4%26.8%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)11.55.50.090.1%73.2%33.2%14.6%
3Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)10.76.30.079.9%55.3%13.8%8.4%
4Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.6%67.6%17.4%8.0%
5Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)10.36.70.073.8%52.7%10.6%6.1%
6Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)9.77.30.063.2%29.1%10.5%4.0%
7Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)9.87.20.065.2%32.8%10.6%4.0%
8Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.67.40.068.0%54.2%7.1%3.9%
9San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.062.8%26.9%8.6%3.1%
10Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)9.67.40.060.4%32.4%5.6%2.7%
11Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.17.90.058.0%46.8%6.5%2.5%
12New England Patriots (0-0-0)9.27.80.053.1%24.8%4.7%2.1%
13Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.88.20.051.5%35.2%3.6%1.7%
14Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.38.70.040.0%19.5%4.8%1.7%
15Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.3%9.3%3.1%1.7%
16Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.09.00.037.8%27.4%4.0%1.6%
17New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.68.40.043.0%14.5%4.5%1.6%
18Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.48.60.038.1%11.2%3.6%1.1%
19Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)8.88.20.045.7%16.9%2.1%1.0%
20Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)8.38.70.036.2%12.1%1.9%0.9%
21Chicago Bears (0-0-0)7.59.50.026.4%11.0%1.8%0.7%
22Denver Broncos (0-0-0)8.18.90.033.6%6.5%1.1%0.4%
23Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.69.40.025.3%6.2%1.3%0.4%
24New York Giants (0-0-0)7.29.80.023.7%16.0%0.6%0.2%
25New York Jets (0-0-0)6.710.30.013.4%3.0%0.5%0.2%
26Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)7.29.80.017.9%2.7%0.5%0.2%
27Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)6.610.40.015.5%9.8%0.6%0.2%
28Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)7.49.60.023.4%6.1%0.7%0.1%
29Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)6.510.50.08.9%2.8%0.2%0.1%
30Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)6.510.50.012.9%8.2%0.2%0.1%
31Detroit Lions (0-0-0)5.611.40.05.9%1.9%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.04.1%2.4%0.1%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.